Skip to content
NUMOROX

Negative Equity Calculator

How far the loan is ahead of the car, the month that reverses, and what it would cost to carry the gap into your next car instead.

Last reviewed

The address carries whatever you changed, so anyone opening it sees these numbers. Nothing is saved on our side.

You are underwater by

$4,500

The car is worth $22,000 and you owe $26,500 — 17% of the loan is not covered by the vehicle. On the current schedule you surface in 1 year 7 months.

Car is worth
$22,000
You owe
$26,500
Monthly payment
$641
48 left
Break even in
1 year 7 months
Clear the gap today with
$4,500
With extra payments
1 year 7 months
add an extra amount

Your numbers

Results update as you type. Nothing is saved or sent anywhere.

A trade-in quote or valuation guide, not what you paid

The payoff figure from your lender

Months

Varies hugely by model — use a valuation guide for yours

Straight against principal, to surface sooner

Used only to price rolling the gap into a new loan

The two lines, month by month

Value falling on a curve, balance falling on a schedule. The month the second drops below the first is the month you stop being underwater.

Vehicle value against loan balance for the first two years
MonthWorthOwedEquityGap
2$21,412$25,547-$4,135
4$20,840$24,582-$3,742
6$20,283$23,604-$3,321
8$19,741$22,615-$2,874
10$19,213$21,613-$2,400
12$18,700$20,599-$1,899
14$18,200$19,571-$1,371
16$17,714$18,531-$817
18$17,241$17,478-$238
19$17,009$16,947$62
20$16,780$16,412$368
22$16,331$15,332$999
24$15,895$14,239$1,656

Only the first two years are shown, which is where the gap is widest and where it closes on most loans. Depreciation is fastest early and the loan pays down slowest early — the two work against you at the same time, which is why new cars on long loans spend so long underwater.

What rolling it into the next car costs

The common answer to being underwater, and the reason people stay underwater for a decade.

Trading in today rolls $4,500 onto the new loan. On a $30,000 car at 7.5% over 48 months, that adds $109 a month and $722 of interest.

You would then be financing a car you no longer own, on top of one you do — and starting the new loan already underwater by at least that amount, before the new car has depreciated at all. Each trade compounds the last, which is how a gap that started at $4,500 becomes permanent.

The three ways out

  • Wait. Keep the car past 1 year 7 months and the problem resolves itself at no cost.
  • Pay the gap. $4,500 settles it today, or extra payments close it sooner.
  • Carry gap insurance until the crossover. If the car is written off, the insurer pays what it is worth, not what you owe — the difference is yours, with no car.

How this calculator works

Two lines run forward together, because the answer is where they cross.

The loan balance is amortized month by month at your rate and remaining term. The car’s value declines on a compounding curve — value × (1 − d)^(months ÷ 12) — where d is the annual depreciation rate you set. The crossover is the first month the balance falls below the value.

Extra payments are simulated as a separate run of the same loop, so the two crossover dates are directly comparable — same depreciation, same rate, only the payment differs.

The cost of rolling the gap forward is priced against the replacement price you enter rather than an assumed one: it is the difference between financing that car and financing that car plus your shortfall, at the same rate and term.

What is assumed

  • A constant annual depreciation rate, applied smoothly. Real curves are steeper at the start.
  • The scheduled payment made every month, on time.
  • No accident, no unusual mileage, no change in condition.
  • The replacement loan at the same rate and term as the current one.

A worked example

A car worth $22,000 with $26,500 owed at 7.5%, 48 payments left, depreciating 15% a year.

$4,500 underwater, and what closes it
Equity today22,000 − 26,500
Share of the loan uncovered4,500 ÷ 26,500
Monthly payment$26,500 at 7.5% over 48
Balance drops below value inMonth 19
Rolled into a $30,000 loanAdds $4,500 of principal
Extra interest from rolling it108.80 × 48 − 4,500

Nineteen months of ordinary payments fixes this for free. Trading in today instead costs $108.80 a month and $722.40 of interest — and leaves the new loan starting $4,500 underwater before the new car has lost a dollar of its own.

The $722.40 is the visible cost. The invisible one is larger: the replacement car will itself depreciate faster than the new loan amortizes, so the position at month nineteen of the next loan is worse than the position you were trying to escape. Doing this twice is how people end up carrying five figures of debt against a car worth half of it.

Questions people ask

That you owe more than the car is worth. It happens because depreciation is fastest in the early years while a loan pays down slowest in the early years — the two work against you at the same time. A small down payment, a long term, or rolling a previous loan's shortfall into this one all make it worse and last longer.

Depreciation is the figure you supply, and the answer moves a great deal with it — use a valuation guide for your specific vehicle. It excludes taxes and fees on a replacement purchase, and gap insurance premiums.